Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 14.559412 16.503521 18.718807 21.453593 24.772008 28.711637 33.809109
2025-06-01 11.962958 14.366650 17.342388 21.375502 26.826961 34.140329 45.067136
2025-06-08 10.271681 12.780555 16.051999 20.764459 27.621833 37.669528 54.444427
2025-06-15 9.260071 11.853593 15.381124 20.728365 29.023211 42.186398 66.625950
2025-06-22 8.205994 10.712764 14.224505 19.745927 28.724089 43.866085 74.479244
2025-06-29 7.331359 9.718950 13.142434 18.684991 28.051781 44.679962 80.904721
2025-07-06 6.696311 9.002719 12.381505 18.003663 27.860888 46.259365 89.501647
2025-07-13 6.802923 9.373966 13.286055 20.125474 32.961837 59.341595 131.696879
2025-07-20 6.582644 9.224668 13.351726 20.823777 35.560618 68.143326 169.503751
2025-07-27 6.146879 8.702787 12.760051 20.267144 35.546134 70.980120 191.201733
2025-08-03 5.976264 8.584558 12.820651 20.907791 38.144889 81.112783 248.594282
2025-08-10 5.658481 8.204174 12.400255 20.577344 38.553003 85.649581 288.861591
2025-08-17 5.356558 7.843120 12.006559 20.300712 39.157486 91.389283 345.494638
2025-08-24 5.110891 7.559586 11.726833 20.222450 40.242593 99.187454 429.203417
2025-08-31 4.819489 7.179010 11.240431 19.656465 40.005970 102.674754 494.367065
2025-09-07 4.627410 6.955006 11.020131 19.622988 41.136793 111.514332 626.672779
2025-09-14 4.336506 6.543670 10.423394 18.711499 39.756457 110.548957 670.462494
2025-09-21 4.057808 6.140276 9.817535 17.725753 38.025929 107.704948 691.644837
2025-09-28 3.843232 5.839209 9.387145 17.091907 37.188431 108.268063 759.490934
2025-10-05 3.954375 6.117173 10.076984 19.063784 44.303818 147.486403 1698.884063
2025-10-12 3.902561 6.098914 10.188663 19.711444 47.667953 172.955459 2953.128307
2025-10-19 3.732490 5.855961 9.835768 19.195230 47.155940 177.233636 3637.753366
2025-10-26 3.684272 5.834559 9.927960 19.789324 50.540041 207.828543 7412.951548